PiCycle
…of the way to a top signal
The 111-day average of Bitcoin's price is at … of twice its 350-day average. When the two meet, the Pi Cycle Top fires. It has fired four times, each within days of a cycle high.
See the live chartThe indicator, live
- Bitcoin
- …
- 111-day average
- …
- 2 × 350-day average
- …
- Gap to close
- …
The Pi Cycle Indicator is a daily indicator, so it only changes once per day. Averages here use daily prices from blockchain.com (2010 onward) extended with Coinbase daily closes, plus today's live price.
Every signal so far
What are the Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Indicators?
The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Indicators are used to identify potential market tops and bottoms in Bitcoin's price cycles. These indicators are based on simple moving averages that reflect cyclical price trends. Historically, the Pi Cycle Top Indicator has been effective in predicting the timing of Bitcoin's market cycle highs within a few days.
The top
Take the 111-day simple moving average of the daily price. Take the 350-day simple moving average and double it. When the 111-day line rises through the doubled 350-day line, the indicator signals a top.
Why pi
350 divided by 111 is 3.153, close to π (3.142). The two averages run on periods whose ratio is almost exactly pi, which is where the name comes from.
The bottom
The companion bottom signal compares the 150-day exponential moving average with the 471-day simple moving average multiplied by 0.745. When the 150-day line falls below it, prices have historically been near a cycle low.
Pi Cycle Forecasts
Bitcoin Price Chart
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Bitcoin (BTC)
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